基于战略预警态势的战略威胁等级计算方法

    The Calculation Method of Strategic Threat Level Based on Strategic Early Warning Situation

    • 摘要: 提出了一种基于战略预警态势的战略威胁等级计算方法,重点针对弹道导弹、战略轰炸机、隐身飞机、航母编队和水下目标等战略目标,提取威胁要素并进行量化处理,进而计算战略目标威胁等级。首先,根据目标当前状态和威胁属性,提取威胁要素并构建评估体系;其次,采用层次分析法(AHP)对威胁要素进行量化,构建威胁要素的判断矩阵,并结合各威胁要素的权重计算威胁度;最后,综合各类目标的威胁等级及其权重,并通过构建战略威胁等级计算规则库,计算整体战略威胁等级。通过对威胁要素的分类量化和威胁等级的分级评估,为战略威胁等级的科学划分提供了方法支持,有助于提升战略预警和威胁评估的准确性和效率。

       

      Abstract: A method for calculating strategic threat levels based on strategic warning situations is proposed in this paper. The method focuses on extracting and quantifying threat elements for strategic targets such as ballistic missiles, strategic bombers, stealth aircraft, aircraft carrier groups, and underwater targets, and then calculates the threat levels of these targets. First, threat elements are extracted based on the current status and threat attributes of the targets, and an evaluation system is constructed. Second, the threat elements are quantified using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and a judgment matrix is constructed to calculate the weights of each threat element. The threat level of each target is then determined based on the weights of the threat elements. Finally, the overall strategic threat level is calculated by integrating the threat levels of various targets and their weights, with the assistance of a strategic threat level calculation rule database. By classifying and quantifying threat elements and evaluating threat levels at different grades, this paper provides a methodological basis for the scientific classification of strategic threat levels. This approach helps improve the accuracy and efficiency of strategic warning and threat assessment.

       

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