基于双层LSTM的航管雷达油位非接触式预测

    Non-Contact Oil Level Prediction for Air Traffic ControlRadar Based on Double - layer LSTM

    • 摘要: 针对航管雷达天线驱动系统油位监测依赖人工、缺乏有效趋势预测能力的问题,提出一种融合图像识别与长短期记忆(LSTM)网络的非接触式油位预测研究。为实现油位状态的数字化感知,采用Canny边缘检测与Hough变换,实时提取液面位置,完成油位信息的自动识别与量化;构建双层LSTM对油位时序数据建模,并引入早停策略,增强模型泛化性能。基于实际运行数据,对双层LSTM模型与ARIMA模型、单层LSTM模型进行实际验证对比,结果表明,双层LSTM模型的平均绝对误差MAE为0.0044,均方根误差RMSE为0.0072,决定系数R²为0.9569。其预测误差较ARIMA模型下降56.77%,较单层LSTM模型下降81.02%。研究实现了对航管雷达天线驱动系统油位的非接触、高精度感知与可靠趋势预测,为推进航管雷达系统的预测性维护提供有效技术支撑。

       

      Abstract: Aimed at addressing the reliance on manual inspection and the lack of effective trend prediction in oil level monitoring for Air Traffic Control (ATC) radar antenna drive systems, this study proposes a non-contact prediction method that integrates image recognition with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. The oil level is digitally captured in real time using the Canny edge detector and Hough transform, enabling automatic identification and quantification. A double-layer LSTM model, incorporating an early stopping strategy to enhance generalization, is constructed to model the oil level time series. Experimental validation based on actual operational data compares the proposed model with ARIMA and single-layer LSTM benchmarks. The results show that the proposed model achieves a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.0044, a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.0072, and a Coefficient of Determination (R²) of 0.9569. Its prediction error is reduced by 56.77% compared to the ARIMA model and by 81.02% compared to the single-layer LSTM model. This research realizes non-contact, high-precision perception and reliable trend prediction for the oil level in ATC radar systems, providing effective technical support for advancing predictive maintenance practices.

       

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