应用模糊理论的空间物体协同监测系统效能评估方法

    Effectiveness Evaluation Method of Space Object Collaborative Monitoring System Using Fuzzy Theory

    • 摘要: 随着人类太空探索活动的日益频繁,在轨航天器和碎片的数量迅速增加,监测设备也相应增多。因此,通过优化调度模型来实现监测系统的组网优化成为未来关注的重点之一。文中提出了一种基于模糊理论的空间物体协同监测系统效能评估模型的构建方法。根据系统的监测功能和性能,建立相应的系统评价指标体系;依据评估模型的因素权重集计算效能值,并构建遗传算法优化的误差反向传播神经网络效能评估元模型,通过迭代优化权值以获得最优权重集。利用模糊评估方法和最大隶属度原则来评估空间物体协同监测系统的效能,并与现有评估方法进行比较,验证了提出的基于模糊理论的模糊评判模型具有更高的准确率和灵敏度。该模型为监测设备系统建设方案的设计和设备优化运行提供了技术支持,能够使监测网络的运行效能达到最优。

       

      Abstract: As human space exploration activities become more frequent, the number of spacecraft and debris in orbit is rapidly increasing, and monitoring equipment is correspondingly increasing. Therefore, optimizing scheduling models to achieve network optimization of monitoring systems has become one of the key focuses for the future. A method for constructing an effectiveness evaluation model of a space object collaborative monitoring system based on fuzzy theory is proposed in this papaer. An appropriate system evaluation index system is established based on the monitoring functions and performance of the system. The effectiveness value is calculated based on the factor weight set of the evaluation model, and a genetic algorithm-optimized back propagation neural network effectiveness evaluation meta-model is constructed, optimizing the weights iteratively to obtain the optimal weight set. The effectiveness of the space object collaborative monitoring system is evaluated using fuzzy evaluation methods and the maximum membership principle, and compared with existing evaluation methods, verifying that the fuzzy judgment model proposed in this paper based on fuzzy theory has higher accuracy and sensitivity. This model provides technical support for the design of monitoring equipment system construction plans and the optimal operation of equipment, enabling the monitoring network to achieve optimal operational effectiveness.

       

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